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ONS logo

What does the future look like? ONS National Population Projections Reveal All

Industry News

29 October 2015

The Office for National Statistics has just published the National population projections, 2014-based Statistical Bulletin.

National population projections by age and sex are produced for the UK and its constituent countries every 2 years. This latest bulletin presents the main findings from the 2014-based national population projections (at 30 June 2014) and replaces the 2012-based projections published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in November 2013.

The national projections provide an estimate of the future size and age structure of the population of the UK (and of its constituent countries).  

Key findings:

  • The UK population is projected to increase by 9.7 million over the next 25 years from an estimated 64.6 million in mid-2014 to 74.3 million in mid-2039.
  • The UK population is projected to reach 70 million by mid-2027.
  • Assumed net migration accounts for 51% of the projected increase over the next 25 years, with natural increase (more births than deaths) accounting for the remaining 49% of growth.
  • Over the 10 year period to mid-2024, the UK population is projected to increase by 4.4 million to 69.0 million. This is 249,000 higher than the previous (2012-based) projection for that year.
  • The population is projected to continue ageing, with the average (median) age rising from 40.0 years in 2014 to 40.9 years in mid-2024 and 42.9 by mid-2039.
  • By mid-2039, more than 1 in 12 of the population is projected to be aged 80 or over.